Seven personal finance lessons from football
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June 14, 2012
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Don’t let aversion to losing prompt over-safe choices

The aversion to losing is deeply rooted – whether the loss is on the field, in the share market or somewhere else. This can lead to sub-optimal decisions.

Don’t take too much risk after a loss

On the football pitch we see “all or nothing” tactics when a team is behind. When investing, there may be a tendency to similarly invest more aggressively after a loss – but beware the risk of losing even more of your nest egg.

Control your emotions

On the field, sticking to a long-term plan and trusting objective statistics can keep emotions under control and, in the long run, may bring better results. The same can hold true off the field as well.

Don’t be fooled by coincidence

Coincidence means you don’t have everything under control: you can be lucky, but you can also be unlucky. A bad footballer manager could see their team promoted because of good luck, just as a bad investor can get lucky with a buy.

Sometimes it’s better to wait than to act

In penalty kicks, goalkeepers tend to dive towards one corner – but, statistically speaking, that is not the best strategy. This “action bias” is also seen when investors are too active in uncertain times. Likewise, it can prove costly.

Beware of herd behaviour

Going with the herd and sticking to conventional hiring strategies is common in football. Investors also get sucked into this trap. Remember: the market is not always right.

Sometimes you see non-existent patterns

If a striker scored in four consecutive matches, there’s no guarantee he will in the fifth. Thinking he will is the “gambler’s fallacy”. A lesson for investors is to not assume future market movements will be dictated by what’s happened in the recent past.

Football is full of economics lessons.

In a special publication on lessons from the game for personal finance, principal economist of consumer economics Charles Kalshoven writes: “Competition, the influence of management decisions, the value of teamwork and behavioural economic pitfalls such as overconfidence and aversion to losing – all these factors can be found both in economics and on the soccer pitch.”
Here are Kalshoven’s seven personal finance lessons from football.

Click here to view the PDF.